没心没肺的,竟敢写出此等文章

作者:路不平  于 2011-4-20 23:31 发表于 最热闹的华人社交网络--贝壳村

通用分类:其它日志

Paul B. Farrell 是他的名字。

这小子还挺能写,昨天面世的[10 Doomsday trends America can’t survive] 是他的第10本书。
 
他还曾写有:

"The Millionaire Code"
"The Winning Portfolio"
"The Lazy Person's Guide to Investing"
"Super-Rich CEOs are killing your retirement"
"Tax the Super Rich now or face a revolution"
。。。。。。
 
大家评评,这说的是我们伟大的美利坚吗?
([10 Doomsday trends America can’t survive]里描述的10种自毁趋势(Doomsday trends)暴露如下。)
 
1、末日资本主义:美国梦、精神和灵魂的死亡
多亏前高盛公司执行长在2008年执掌财政部,欺骗国会注入数万亿美元挽救已经破产的华尔街,
它复活了,但显然资本主义已经扼杀了美国灵魂。没有人相信政府。不管是谁当选,都是财富、
华尔街和超级富豪统治美国,总崩溃正在到来。
 
来自佛蒙特的参议员桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)曾说,这个国家正在进行一场战争……美国最富
有的人正在向日益萎缩的中产阶级开战。他们要更多、更多、更多。他们的贪欲无边;如果他们
积累权力和财富受阻,他们显然不关心这个国家的未来。
 
1. Doomsday Capitalism: Death of the American dream, spirit, soul

After our bankrupt Wall Street was resurrected in 2008 — thanks to their Trojan Horse, an ex-Goldman CEO inside the Treasury conning trillions from a clueless Congress — it became obvious that capitalism is killing America’s soul. Nobody trusts government. And no matter who’s elected, wealth, Wall Street and the Super Rich rule America; total collapse is coming.

Why? Sen. Bernie Sanders, the independent from Vermont, said it best: “There is a war going on in this country … the war waged by the wealthiest people in America on the disappearing and shrinking middle class of our country. The nation’s billionaires are on the warpath. They want more, more, more. Their greed has no end and they are apparently unconcerned for the future of this country if it gets in the way of their accumulation of power and wealth.”

 
2、 末日民主:“资本主义异变”扼杀民主
不要糊弄自己,民主已经死亡。“人人生而平等”只是一个政治虚构。在富人可以买选票的国家,
公众没有真正的发言权;天真的公众很容易被操纵,当选官员有代价。
“看不见的手”不再为公共福利服务。今天,华尔街和贪得无厌的1%超级富豪统治美国。他们沉湎
于不受监管的里根经济学自由市场,他们热爱580万亿美元衍生产品的赌博,正是那种赌博引发
2008年崩溃。
 
2. Doomsday Democracy: ‘Mutant Capitalism’ killing ‘We the People’

Stop kidding yourself, democracy is dead: “All men are created equal” is a quaint political fiction. The public has no real say in a nation where wealth buys votes, a naive public is easily manipulated and elected officials have a price.

In “The Battle for Soul of Capitalism,” Bogle warned us the “Invisible Hand” no longer serves “We the People” nor the public welfare. Today, Wall Street and the insatiable Super Rich 1% rule America. And they are obsessed with restoring the same unregulated free-market Reaganomics that loves gambling in the same speculative $580 trillion derivatives casino that triggered the 2008 meltdown.

 
3、末日阴谋:华尔街接管,新的“看不见的手”
超级富豪总是能在某种程度上决定美国的命运、从阴影中操作。今天,华尔街、公司执行长、政
治家和福布斯400名十亿级富豪公开操作,具有绝对权力和傲慢,造成全国灵魂腐败。这种做法
没有道德标准,具有讽刺意味的是它合法。因为财富可以很容易地买到有利于自己的法律,把不
道德、自私和腐败的行为统统合法化。他们高价雇佣的说客遍及华盛顿、国会、政府监管机构
;而联储会有权利为超级富豪获得奖赏,却将负担转嫁到99%的纳税人身上。
 
3. Doomsday Conspiracy: Wall Street takeover, the new ‘Invisible Hand’

The Super Rich have always had some hand in America’s destiny, operating from the shadows. Today, this conspiracy of Wall Street, Corporate CEOs, politicians and Forbes 400 billionaires operates openly, with absolute power and an arrogance that is corrupting the nation’s soul, their souls, your soul. This conspiracy has no moral compass , yet ironically, is legal.

Why? Wealth can easily buy favorable laws, making even the most unethical, selfish, corrupt behavior legal by fiat. And their high-priced lobbyists all over Washington, Congress, government regulatory agencies and the Fed all have the power to grab the rewards of capitalism for the Super Rich, while transferring the liabilities to the other, clueless 99% of America’s taxpayers

 
4、末日政治:超级富豪无政府主义者操纵美国
今天的华盛顿完全是无政府主义,是数万名高价说客在玩的游戏,他们要在美国预算中为客户而
不是公众得到最好交易。美国经济是超级富豪无政府主义者在操纵。他们知道,唯一算数的选票
是在国会,而那种选票可以买到。
说客是“掮客”。今天26.1万说客为特殊利益做交易,都在1.5万亿美元联邦预算大饼中捞取尽量大
的一块,包括特殊规定、免税、贷款、税务漏洞、专项拨款、机构任命、国防合同,这方面无休
止的争斗进一步巩固超级富豪的权利和财富。
 
4. Doomsday Politics: Monopoly of Super-Rich Anarchists rules America

Forget buzzwords like oligopoly, plutocracy, socialism. Today Washington is a pure anarchy, a game played by tens of thousands of high-priced lobbyists squeezing the best deals out of America’s budget, solely for their clients’ interests, never the general public. Our economy is a monopoly of Super-Rich Anarchists. They know the only votes that count are in Congress. And they’re for sale.

Lobbyists are “brokers.” Today there are 261,000 lobbyists brokering special interests, all fighting for the maximum possible slice of a $1.5 trillion federal budget pie — special regulations, exemptions, loans, tax loopholes, earmarks, access, agency appointments, defense contracts, you name it — endless gambits that further consolidate the power and wealth at the top for Super-Rich Donors.

 
5、末日经济:增长成为政治家的数字游戏
曾经是经济学和政治学中有特定含义的不增长就灭亡定理,正在受到“增长和灭亡”新研究的挑
战,而奇异的数字骗局被经济学家作为宣传,掩盖真相、操纵投资者、消费者、选民和公众。
所有经济学家都带有偏见,为银行、政治家、公司执行长、智库或联储会工作,他们都有政治议
程。他们是讲话作者,支持党派的口号,忽视长期后果。例如,全球人口到2050年将增长50%,
但老派经济学家却装作自然资源是无限的。
 
5. Doomsday Economics: Growth is a numbers game for politicians

The principle of grow or die, once a given in economics and politics, is being challenged by new “growth and die” research, while a bizarre numbers racket is used by economists as propaganda to hide the truth, manipulating investors, consumers, voters, the public.

All economists tend to be biased, work for banks, politicians, corporate CEOs, think tanks and the Fed, all with political agendas. They’re more speech writers, supporting partisan slogans like “drill baby drill,” ignoring long-term consequences. For example, global population will increase 50% by 2050, yet old-school economists keep pretending natural resources are infinite.

 
6、末日心理:行为科学承诺落空
回顾2002年,行为科学为投资者提供希望:心理学家卡纳曼(Daniel Kahneman)赢得2002年诺
贝尔经济学奖,将华尔街“理性投资者”的谜团曝光。他们的承诺:我们将帮助你们理解自己的大
脑,做出更好的决定。人们不够理性,控制大脑才能成为成功的投资者。
错了。从来都不是那样。人们的大脑永远都不理性。更糟糕的是,华尔街的变化总是超出普通人
许多光年,因为他们知道普通人脆弱,很容易操纵。他们也为自己的赌场聘用顶尖的神经科学
家。因此庄家总是赢。
 
6. Doomsday Psychology: The broken promises of behavioral science

Back in 2002 behavioral science offered investors hope: Psychologist Daniel Kahneman won the 2002 Nobel Prize in Economics, exposing Wall Street’s myth of the “rational investor.” Their promise: We’ll help you understand your brain, make better decisions. You’ll be “less irrational,” control your brain, be a successful investor.

Wrong. That will never happen. Why? Because your brain will always be irrational. Worse, Wall Street quants are always light-years ahead of our home-school brain rewiring; they know you’re vulnerable, easy to manipulate. They also hire the top neuroscientists for their casinos. No wonder the house always wins.

 
7、末日技术:创新、衍生品赌场和怪异
先进的新技术、数学推理和神经科学都保证华尔街内幕人士在衍生产品赌场中稳操胜券,以普通
人的存款为杠杆。今天,华尔街更加着迷于在大幅动荡中获得高风险利润。
普通投资者无法同华尔街的高频率交易商相比,他们可以在这种偏斜的竞争场地获得巨额盈利。
然而,天真的普通投资者却继续押注,尽管有人警告他们交易越多,挣钱越少。
 
 
7. Doomsday Technology: Innovation, derivative casinos, the singularity

Sophisticated new technologies, mathematical algorithms and neuroscience all guarantee Wall Street insiders huge margins gambling in their derivative casinos, leveraging deposits from Main Street’s “dumb money.” Today Wall Street is even more obsessed, grabbing for high-risk profits in a tough “new normal” of high volatility, increasing risks, lower returns.

Average investors are no match for Wall Street’s high-frequency traders who easily win by huge margins on this rigged playing field. Still, naive Main Street investors keep betting despite warnings that the more you trade the less you earn.

8、末日战争:五角大楼逻辑--人口+商品=战争
五角大楼预言,2020年战争将决定人类生命;到2050年,全球人口增长50%,超过100亿。强大
的商业、政治和意识形态力量推动全球化。新兴国家竞争稀有资源。五角大楼警告说,这是“国家
安全问题之母”。
动荡不安将造成大规模干旱,将农田变成沙尘暴,树林变成灰烬。不是几百年的渐变,他们可能
突然将气候推到临界点。到2020年,几乎没有疑问,某些戏剧性事件会发生。随着这个星球的承
载能力萎缩,古老的模式将再次出现:针对粮食、饮水和能源供应的全面战争爆发,战争决定人
类命运。
 
8. Doomsday Warfare: Pentagon math: population + commodities = wars

The Pentagon predicts that by 2020 “warfare will define human life” as global population explodes 50% to 10 billion in 2050. Powerful commercial, political and ideological forces drive globalization. Emerging nations compete for scarce resources. This is “the mother of all national security issues,” warns the Pentagon.

“Unrest would then create massive droughts, turning farmland into dust bowls and forests to ashes. Rather than causing gradual, centuries-spanning change, they may be pushing the climate to a tipping point. By 2020 there is little doubt that something drastic is happening. As the planet’s carrying capacity shrinks an ancient pattern reemerges: the eruption of desperate, all-out wars over food, water and energy supplies and warfare defining human life.”

 
9、末日历史:这次真地不一样--最终崩
泡沫/破灭周期已经纳入记录800年。但历史的教训从来没有得到吸取。在繁荣时期,乐观蒙住人
们的眼睛;人们否认风险。泡沫破灭,崩溃发生,我们总是能复苏。
但那种假定现在受到很多挑战。金融历史学家费戈森(Niall Ferguson)说,崩溃也许比很多历史
学家想象的更快。财政赤字和军事战线过度拉长显示,美国可能是个面临悬崖的帝国。历史上很
多国家在权势、富有和光荣的顶峰期,领导人地位上升,头脑发热,自我破坏。
 
9. Doomsday History: This time really is different — the final meltdown

Bubble/bust cycles have been well documented for eight centuries. But the lessons of history are never learned. Euphoria blinds us in boom times. We deny risk. Bubbles blow. Meltdowns happen. We will always recover.

Wrong. Many now challenge that naive assumption. Financial historian Niall Ferguson comments in his “Rise and Fall of the American Empire:” “Collapse may come much more suddenly than many historians imagine. Fiscal deficits and military overstretch suggests that the United States may be the next empire on the precipice. Many nations in history, at the very peak of their power, affluence and glory, see leaders arise, run amok with imperial visions and sabotage themselves, their people and their nation.”

 
10、末日投资:后资本主义时代的生存策略
摩根斯坦利专家、对冲基金经理比格斯(Barton Biggs)曾经向超级富豪投资者提出末日策略。
他警告说,文明基础设施可能断裂。人们的安全港必须是自给自足,能够种粮食、好好保管种
子、化肥和罐头食品、酒、药品和衣服。要准备对接近的盗匪头目开枪,说服他们种地比抢劫更
为容易。但那种设想对于普通人来说很难实现。
10. Doomsday Investing: Survival strategies in the post-capitalism era

Former Morgan Stanley guru and hedge fund manager Barton Biggs, offers his Super-Rich Investors a doomsday strategy in his “Wealth, War and Wisdom.” He warns of “the possibility of a breakdown of the civilized infrastructure.” No hippie radical, he says “think Swiss Family Robinson, your safe haven must be self-sufficient, capable of growing food, well-stocked with seed, fertilizer, canned food, wine, medicine, clothes. And be ready to fire a few rounds over the approaching brigands’ heads, to persuade them there are easier farms to pillage.”

But will that work for Main Street investors in the next meltdown/depression? Read our 12 tips and six worst-case scenario rules for average investors preparing for the doomsday scenario.


高兴

感动

同情

搞笑

难过

拍砖

支持
4

鲜花

刚表态过的朋友 (4 人)

评论 (0 个评论)

facelist doodle 涂鸦板

您需要登录后才可以评论 登录 | 注册

关于本站 | 隐私政策 | 免责条款 | 版权声明 | 联络我们 | 刊登广告 | 转手机版 | APP下载

Copyright © 2001-2013 海外华人中文门户:倍可亲 (http://www.backchina.com) All Rights Reserved.

程序系统基于 Discuz! X3.1 商业版 优化 Discuz! © 2001-2013 Comsenz Inc. 更新:GMT+8, 2024-3-31 02:26

倍可亲服务器位于美国圣何塞、西雅图和达拉斯顶级数据中心,为更好服务全球网友特统一使用京港台时间

返回顶部