(A) THE AUTHOR IS WAITING FOR ANSWERS FROM ALL THE UPRIGHT PEOPLE IN CHINA AND

作者:前兆  于 2019-3-16 22:38 发表于 最热闹的华人社交网络--贝壳村

通用分类:热点杂谈|已有40评论

关键词:EARTHQUAKE, PREDICTION

AT ALL TIMES AND OVER ALL THE WORLD, APART FROM PROF. DAJIONG LU WHO ELSE IN THE WORLD HAS MADE SUCH SUCCESSFUL EARTHQUAKE PREDICTIONS?

---The author is waiting for answers from all the upright people in China and in all over the world---

1.   PROF.DAJIONG LU OBTAINED UNPARALLELED SUCCESS IN PREDICTING THE CHIL’S EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 7.9.

AROUND 10:00 AM NOV. 30, 1976, MANY PEOPLE FROM THE BEIJING SEISMIC BRIGADE AND CHINESE ACADEMY OF METROLOGY RESEARCH CAME TO VISIT PROF. LU’S EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION STATION WHICH WAS LOCATED NEAR MIYUN RESERVOIR IN THE SUBURB OF BEIJING. WHILE THEY WERE COMING INTO PROF. LU’S LABORATORY THEY SAW THE TAIL OF STRONG TELESEISM WAVE WHICH HAD BEEN RECORDED BY PROF. LU’S LASER PHASE-LOCKED STRAINOMETER. AT THAT TIME, LU  POINTED AT THE  SEISMIC WAVE RECORDED BY A TREMBLE NEEDLE AND SAID THAT “YESTERDAY I PREDICTED TO MIYUN RESERVOIR EARTHQUAKE OBSERVATION STATION THAT AT 9:04 AM TOMORROW A STRONG TELESEISM ( NAMELY, FAR AWAY FROM BEIJING) WOULD OCCUR IN THE EARTH. THIS IS THE SEISMIC WAVE OF MAGNITUDE 7.9 OF CHILE, ITS ARRIVAL TIME WAS 9:00 AM. THE TIME DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ITS ARRIVAL TIME AND THE OCCURRENCE TIME PREDICTED BY ME IS 4 MINUTES.” THEY WERE VERY SURPRISED AND CAN NOT BELIEVE, AND THEN ASKED THE STAFF MEMBER OF RESERVOIR EARTHQUAKE STATION. MR. SUN SHI-HONG, THE TECHNICIAN OF STATION VERIFIED THAT IT IS TRUE!

THIS WAS FIRST CALCULATED BY PRO. DAJIONG LU ON THE EVENING OF NOVEMBER 29, 1976 ACCOUNDING TO THE REVERSE CHARACTERISTICS OF SUDDEN JUMPS RECORDED BY THE LASER PHASE LOCKED STRAINOMETER (PLEASE REFER TO “IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION” CHINESE VERSION P. 61; ENGLISH VERSION P. 45, AND ALSO REFER TO “EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION MORE ACCURATE THAN WEATHER FORECAST” ENGLISH VERSION P. 28 ). THEN GOING TO RECORDING MAP OF THE BEDROCK EARTH CURRENT RECORDER TO LOOK FOR CORRESPONDING SPECIFIC PRECURSOR MODEL WHICH ONLY STRONG EARTHQUAKE HAVE. FINALLY IT WAS FOUND OUT THAT THE EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE TIME CALCULATED BY STRAIN AND EARTH CURRENT (STRAIN 9:04 AM AND EARTH CURRENT 8:58 AM) WAS DIFFERENT BUT CLOSE TO EACH OTHER EXTRAORDINARY. AS A RESULT, ON THE EVENING OF THE 29th, PROF. LU ISSUED THE ABOVE-MENTIONED PREDICTION TO THE BEIJING SEISMIC BRIGADE STATION.

 

FROM THE 12th DAY AFTER THE TANGSHAN EARTHQUAKE (NAMELY PROF. LU STARTED TO RESEARCH EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION FROM AUGUST 9, 1976) TO NOV.29th THE SAME YEAR (NAMELY ABOVE-MENTIONED PREDICTION WAS ISSUED BY PROF. LU) THE TIME INTERVAL WAS 112 DAYS ONLY !

 

THE FORECAST WAS OBTAINED ACCORDING TO THE TELESEISM PRECURSOR SIGNAL DISCOVERED BY PROF. LU. BASED ON THIS TELESEISM IS FAR AWAY FROM THE STATION (ABOUT 10000 KM) AND THE TIME DIFFERENCE OF PREDICTION (4 MIN ) IS SO ACCURATE, THEREFORE, IT CAN BE SAID THAT THE DISCOVERY OF THE TELESEISM PRECURSOR SIGNALS AND THEIR MODELS IS ONE OF GREATEST DISCOVERIES IN THE 20th CENTURY !

 

2.   PROF. LU PREDICTED A NEAR EARTHQUAKE ACCURATELY.

DURING THE MAY AND JUNE, 1978, MR. GUAN WEIYAN (THE RESPONSIBLE PERSON OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS, THE CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES) SAID TO DAJIONG LU (WHO WAS ENGAGING IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH AT THE SAME INSTITUTE) : “NOW YOU HAVE A GREAT REPUTATION OUTSIDE, AND THE GENERAL ATAFF HAS GIVEN OUR INSTITUTE A LETTER FOR CONFIRMING THE TRUTH OF SUCCESSFUL EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION OBTAINED BY YOU! CAN YOU PREDICT A EARTHQUAKE DIRECT TO OUR INSTITUTE BEFORE A EARTHQUAKE OCCUR?”  LU ANSWERED: “OK! I WOULD PREDICT A EARTHQUAKE AGAIN DIRECT TO THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF OUR INSTITUTE IF I COULD MAKE A PHONE CALL DIRECT GO THROUGH TO THE DUTY OFFICE WITHOUT MEETING DIFFICULTY. THE DUTY OFFICE WILL HAVE A RECORD, SO THAT THERE ARE A PROOF FOR SUCCESS OR NOT.” MR. GUAN AGREED WITH LU’S OPINION AND EXPRESS: TO MAKE SURE THAT THE DUTY OFFICE HAVE A TRUE RECORD!

 

(IT NEEDS TO BE EXPLAINED AGAIN HERE: AS MENTIONED EARLIER , IT WAS DIFFICULT FOR LU TO MAKE PHONE CALLS FROM MIYUN RESERVOIR SEISMIC STATION TO PREDICT EARTHQUAKES TO CONCERN UNITS, SO THE GENERAL STAFF ADMINISTRATION BUREAU HAD SET UP A MILITARY TELEPHONE LINE FROM MIYUN RESERVOIR SEISMIC STATION TO THE GENERAL STAFF ADMINISTRATION BUREAU IN BEIJING FOR LU. THIS MILITARY LINE WAS EASIER TO MAKE FORECASTS, SO MOST OF LU’S PREDICTIONS WERE DIRECT TO THE GENERAL STAFF BEFORE MR. GUAN PUT FORWARD THIS REQUEST.)

 

ON THE EVENING OF JUNE 10, 1978, DAJIONG LU CONCLUDED FROM THE ANALYSIS OF EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR DATA THAT A NEAR EARTHQUAKE WOULD OCCUR TEMORROW. SO LU DIDN’T GO TO BED UNTIL 1:00 AM, AND GOT UP AT 4:00 AM  IN THE MORNING OF JUNE 11. AFTER CHECKING THE LATEST IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR DATA AGAIN, LU IMMEDIATELY MAKE A PHONE CALL TO THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS THROUGH THE TELEPHONE OPERATOR OF THE MIYUN RESERVOIR MANAGEMENT OFFICE (THANK GOD, THIS PHONE CALL WENT THROUGH SMOOTHLY, PERHAPS IN THE EARLY HOURS OF THE MORNING THE TELEPHONE IS EASY TO GET THROUGH!) : “A NEAR EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 5 OR SO IS GOING TO OCCUR AT 13:18 ON THE SAME DAY (NAMELY, JUNE 11, 1978), THE EPICENTER WILL BE ABOUT 200KM AWAY FROM MIYUN RESERVOIR WITH SOUTHEAST DIRECTION. THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS REPORTED TO THE LEADER, QIAO XING-NAN, OF THE INSTITUTE OF PHYSICS (SECRETARY OF THE PARTY COMMITTEE) IMMEDIATELY AND ASKED IF IT IS NECESSARY TO REPORT TO THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES. THE LEADER REPLIED: “OF COURSE!” THE EARTHQUAKE DUTY OFFICE OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES ALSO REPORTED TO THE HEAD OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES AND ASKED IF IT IS NECESSARY TO REPORT TO THE SEISMOLOGICAL BUREAU. THE LEADER OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCES REPLIED: “OF COURSE”.

 

AROUND NOON, THE SAME DAY, THE STAFF OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL BUREAU SAT DOWN AROUND THE SEISMOGRAPH AND WAS WAITING FOR  THE EARTHQUAKE PREDICTED BY LU. OUTCOME: AN EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 4.8 AND ANOTHER EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 4.4 BOTH OCCURRED IN LEIZHUANG AT 12:29 PM AND 13:52 PM ON THE SAME RESPECTIVELY! THE MEDIAN TIME BETWEEN TWO EARTHQUAKES WAS 13:10 PM, 8 MINUTES ONLY FROM 13:18 PREDICTED BY LU. IN ADDITION, THE ENERGY SUMM,ATION OF TWO QUAKES WAS EQUAL TO THE ENERGY OF EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 5. TO THIS END, GUANGMING DAILY REPORTER SENT AN INTERNAL REFERENCE TO THE CENTRAL AUTHORITIES REPORTING THIS EXTREMELY SUCCESSFUL FORECAST! (PLEASE REFER TO “EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION MORE ACCURATE THAN WEATHER FORECAST” ENGLISH VERSION P. 29 ).

 

3.   PROF. LU PREDICTED A TELESEISM ACCURATELY.

ON MARCH 6, 1978, PROF. LU MADE A REPORT TO THE SHOCK PREVENTION OFFICE UNDER THE HEADQUARTERS OF THE GENERAL STAFF OF THE CHINESE PEOPLE’S LIBERATION ARMY AND FORECAST THAT 10:00 AM ON MARCH 7, 1978, AN EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE OVER 7 WOULD OCCUR NEAR JAPAN. OUTCOME: THE EARTHQUAKE OF MAGNITUDE 7.5 OCCURRED IN JAPAN SEA AT 10:48 AM ON MARCH 7, 1978. THE TIME DIFFERENCE BETWEEN ACTUAL OCCURRENCE TIME OF EARTHQUAKE AND OCCURRENCE TIME PREDICTED BY LU WAS 48 MINUTES. (PLEASE REFER TO “EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION MORE ACCURATE THAN WEATHER FORECAST” ENGLISH VERSION P. 30. )

 

THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IS “SQUEAKY CLEAN”, NO “WADING IN MUD AND WATER” AND NEVER “CALL THE WOLVES” DAY BY DAY!

 

THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION NEEDN’T TO KNOW SPECIFIC CIRCUMSTANCES ABOUT ANY ANIMAL ANOMALIES, CRUSTAL CHANGES IN THE EPICENTER AND SO ON BEFORE IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE.

 

THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION ACHIEVED MORE ACCURATE IN TIME THAN WEATHER FORECAST, AND ACHIEVED THE TELEMETRY PREDICTION IN DISTANCE FOR TELESEISM WHICH IS 1500-2000 KM FAR AWAY FROM THE EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR OBSERVATION STATION.

 

AS A RESULT, THIS KIND OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION POSSESS GREAT SCIENTIFIC SIGNIFICANCE; IT COULD MAKE IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION REACH THE PRACITICAL STAGE IF IT COULD ACT IN CONCERT WITH OTHER RELIABLE MEANS OF IMPENDING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION.

 

AT ALL TIMES AND ALL OVER THE WORLD, APART FROM PROF. DAJIONG LU, WHO ELSO IN THE WORLD HAS MADE SUCH SUCCESSFUL PREDICTIONS?

 

古今中外,世界上除了吕大炯教授之外还有哪一位科学家有这样成功的预报?

---这个问题作者等待全中国,乃至全世界所有正直的人们的回答!!!---

 

1.    吕大炯教授举世无双的成功的预报智利7.9级地震的震例!

    19761130日上午10:00 左右中国计量科学研究院与北京地震大队约有20 ~ 30 人来参 观吕大炯正在从事地震前兆观测研究的密云水库台站当他们刚踏入前兆记录实验室时,恰好看到激光锁相应变仪正在记录着一次强烈远震的地震波的尾部那时吕大炯指着正在被颤抖着的记录笔记录着的地震波说: “昨天我向北京地震大队密云水库地震台 预报了今天上午 9:04 左右会发生一次强烈远震我指的就是现在正在记录着的智利 7.9 级地震这次地震到达本台站的时间是今天上午9:00 , 到达本台站的时间与我所预报的发震时间仅差 4 分钟. 他们听后感到十二万分的驚讶并且难以置信就去问地震台的工作人员两位工作人员 都给予了肯定的回答.

   这是吕大炯于 19761129日晚首先根据激光锁相应变仪所记录到的突跳反向特性推算 出来的 (请参看”临震预报”中文版 P.61, 英文版 P.45 及”震兆云霞” 中文版P.72, 日文版P.??).   后再到基岩地电记录仪的记录图上去寻找相应的只有强震才具有的特定的前兆模式发现用应 变及地电两者所推算出来的发震时间(应变 9:04 AM 及地电8:58AM) 异乎寻常的接近于是才在 29 日晚向地震台发出了上述预报.

   吕大炯从唐山地震后第 12  ( 1976  8  9 )开始研究地震预报,到同年1129 日发 出这次预报两者之间的时间间隔为 112 这次预报是根据吕大炯所发现的远震前兆信号所得 到的这次远震离台站距离之远( 10000公里左右)及预报时间之精确(时差 4 分钟),因此可以 这些远震前兆信号及其模式的发现是 20 世纪最伟大的发现之一.

所以说:吕大炯对智利地震震时的预报内涵着20 世纪最伟大的发现之一。

 

2.    吕大炯教授对于近震的精准预报:

19785~6月份,中国科学院物理研究所业务负责人管惟炎先生对正在该所从事地震预报研究的吕大炯说:“你在外面的名声已经很大了,总参也给你写了预报成功的证明,你给咱们物理所也预报一个呀!”吕大炯回答说:“好吧!只要给物理所地震值班室的电话能打通,我就再给地震值班室预报一次。值班室会有记录,这样就可以有一个预报成功与否的凭据。”管也同意这样的做法,并表示会请值班室作好记录。

(这里需要再一次说明:前面已经讲过,吕大炯从密云水库地震台站打电话预报比较困难,所以总参管理局给吕架设了一条军用电话线,从密云水库地震台站直通北京城内的总参管理局。这条军用线比较便于发出预报,所以在管惟炎提出这一要求之前吕大多数是给总参预报的。)

 

1978610日晚,吕大炯从地震前兆资料分析得出:一个近震将要在明天发生。于是在611日凌晨4点鈡再一次查看最新的临震预报资料后,立即通过密云水库管理处电话接线员给物理所地震值班室打电话预报(感谢上帝,这次顺利地打通了!也许是凌晨,电话容易接通吧!):“一个5级左右的近震将要在当天(1978611日)1318分发生。震中将位于离密云水库东南方向200 公里左右的地区…… 。”物理所的地震值班室立即向物理所的领导(党委书记)报告,并询问要不要向科学院报告。所领导回答说“当然。”科学院地震值班室又向院领导报告并请示要不要向地震局报告。院领导的回答是:“当然。”

届时,地震局的工作人员在吕所预报地震将要发生的时间围绕地震仪等候。结果:一个4.8级地震及一个4.4级地震分别于当日1229分及当日1352分发生在雷庄。这两次地震的中间时间是1310分,与吕所预报的1318分仅相差8分鈡。两次地震的能量总和相当于一次5级地震。为此,光明日报记者向中央发了内参,报告了这次极其成功的预报。

 

3.    吕大炯教授对于远震的精准预报:

 

197836日吕大炯向总参谋部防震办公室预报: 197837(即第二天)上午10:00左右在日 本附近可能发生7级以上地震. 结果于37日上午10:48在日本附近的日本海发生了7.5级地震. 所预报的发震.时间与实际地震发生时间之差为48分钟. .(请参看临震预报中文版P.236,英文 P.173, ”震兆云霞中文版P.43, 日文版? 48次预报)

 

这种临震预报干净利落, 决无拖泥带水. 没有天天喊狼来; 这种临震预报根本不需要知道震中 地区在临震前的任何动物异常,地壳变动等具体情况;这种临震预报实现了在时间方面比天气 预报还要准确,在震中方面实现了对几千公里(这次为1500 –2000公里) 之外的远震进行遥测预 ,

因此这种临震预报在科学上具有重要意义;若与其它可靠的临震预报手段配合,可以使临震预 报达到实用阶段.

 

古今中外,世界上除了吕大炯教授之外还有哪一位科学家有这样成功的预报?

 

图片取自 GOOGLE
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回复 前兆 2019-5-5 21:28
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